Brighton and Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 28
Premier League - Gameweek 28
Sunday, 1 Mar 2026 • 14:00
American Express Stadium (Brighton and Hove, East Sussex, England)
Goals
Game Review
Brighton and Hove Albion secured a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Nottingham Forest in their Premier League clash at the American Express Stadium. The match, part of Gameweek 28, saw Brighton take an early lead and hold on despite a spirited fightback from the visitors. The game started with a bang as Brighton's Diego Gómez opened the scoring in the 6th minute, setting the tone for a lively encounter. Just seven minutes later, Morgan Gibbs-White (GAP +1.0%) equalized for Nottingham Forest, showcasing his knack for finding space in the box. However, Brighton quickly regained their advantage through Danny Welbeck (GAP +2.0%), who found the net in the 15th minute, capitalizing on a defensive lapse. Brighton manager made no changes to the starting lineup from their previous match, indicating confidence in his squad's form. In contrast, Nottingham Forest's head coach made a single change, bringing in Matz Sels (GAP +0.9%) in goal, replacing Stefan Ortega. This decision was likely influenced by the need to bolster their defensive solidity. Kaoru Mitoma (GAP +3.0%) was instrumental in Brighton's attacking play, consistently troubling the Forest defense with his pace and creativity. Jan Paul van Hecke (GAP +3.6%) also stood out in defense, helping to maintain Brighton's lead with crucial interventions. Despite Nottingham Forest's efforts to level the score, including the introduction of substitutes like Taiwo Awoniyi, Brighton's defense held firm. The result sees Brighton continue their positive momentum, having now secured crucial points in their battle for a higher league position. For Nottingham Forest, the defeat is a setback as they strive to climb the table. Their inability to capitalize on their equalizer and defensive lapses will be areas to address moving forward. Overall, Brighton's victory was a testament to their resilience and tactical discipline, while Nottingham Forest will need to regroup and address their defensive vulnerabilities to improve their standing in the league.
Lineups
Brighton and Hove Albion
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 71' | Joel Veltmanfor Mats Wieffer |
| 86' | Solly Marchfor Diego Gómez |
| 86' | Carlos Balebafor James Milner |
| 90' | Maxim Cuyperfor Kaoru Mitoma |
Nottingham Forest
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 56' | Luca Netzfor Neco Williams |
| 56' | Jair Cunhafor Omari Hutchinson |
| 74' | Dilane Bakwafor Callum Hudson-Odoi |
| 82' | Dan Ndoyefor Ola Aina |
| 83' | Taiwo Awoniyifor Igor Jesus |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38 | 35 | +3 | 37 | D L L W W |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 | D L D L L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Premier League
Gameweek 28
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.